Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.184301 0.213227 0.245178 0.283083 0.326833 0.375749 0.434609
2025-10-05 0.143847 0.184108 0.233177 0.297381 0.379207 0.480069 0.613973
2025-10-12 0.120843 0.165882 0.224649 0.306939 0.419270 0.567400 0.777912
2025-10-19 0.104588 0.152018 0.217446 0.314283 0.454090 0.648884 0.941522
2025-10-26 0.091216 0.139321 0.208958 0.317098 0.480991 0.720493 1.098030
2025-11-02 0.079138 0.126362 0.197741 0.313459 0.496629 0.775965 1.235672
2025-11-09 0.067937 0.112973 0.183787 0.303193 0.499860 0.811696 1.345492
2025-11-16 0.062194 0.107381 0.181073 0.309936 0.530120 0.892043 1.534530
2025-11-23 0.056428 0.100915 0.175985 0.311808 0.551998 0.960338 1.710330
2025-11-30 0.052006 0.096141 0.173055 0.316748 0.579221 1.039825 1.913376
2025-12-07 0.046484 0.088685 0.164511 0.310563 0.585681 1.083252 2.056111
2025-12-14 0.042056 0.082686 0.157849 0.306899 0.596025 1.134168 2.217370
2025-12-21 0.038822 0.078651 0.154508 0.309364 0.618670 1.211104 2.438634
2025-12-28 0.037422 0.078056 0.157666 0.324829 0.668344 1.344857 2.786597
2026-01-04 0.035573 0.076309 0.158321 0.335269 0.708973 1.464903 3.120105
2026-01-11 0.033641 0.074148 0.157865 0.343288 0.745366 1.579959 3.455776
2026-01-18 0.031430 0.071114 0.155242 0.346363 0.771519 1.676340 3.762070
2026-01-25 0.028834 0.066923 0.149684 0.342389 0.781830 1.740002 4.003575
2026-02-01 0.025935 0.061705 0.141315 0.331177 0.774706 1.764859 4.160482
2026-02-08 0.024712 0.060221 0.141108 0.338542 0.810647 1.888908 4.558643
2026-02-15 0.023214 0.057909 0.138750 0.340585 0.834320 1.987326 4.907106
2026-02-22 0.022061 0.056298 0.137849 0.345981 0.866508 2.108632 5.323680
2026-03-01 0.020262 0.052873 0.132243 0.339226 0.868224 2.157571 5.567188